Seeds of Inevitability II

The vurld is a very potentially varied thingey. So there is more to the "military confrontation that didn't quite happpen" than has been discussed previously.

If this is a routine military to military non-hostile encounter and the Bush administration insured that this story came out we can interpret the story as an effort to test the waters. Perhaps Bush and Cheney are wondering if this story will stimulate voices to demand war? The provocative story is something of an assessment tool. "How rabid are the American people this week?" and the different but related question of, "What will get them to howl for Iranian blood?"

Oh yes, then there is the angle that by doing these sorts of runs at U.S. convoys the Iranians help keep the price of oil way up. Isn't there some dollar amount that each barrel is costing due to the threat of a war between
Iran and the United States? I think it is from ten to twenty dollars a barrel so it makes oil more valuable and notifies the West that prices would of course be more like $200.00 or more a barrel if there were a significant Persian Gulf War. Keeping prices up now benefits all oil producers. The threat of higher oil prices sounds like bad business to a lot of people. Still, it may be that this is the world we find ourselves in, one where energy is
precious, so precious that we may not get as much of it as we would like.

If worldwide oil supply was significantly disrupted markets would become more regional. I believe regions will favor their own folks first in a situation of genuine scarcity. Others would be forced to pay even higher amounts, or find some emergency source of necessary energy supplies.
new sources of energy or pray to the earth goddess.